Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

1kṀ2418

Dec 31

81%

chance

ALL

Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats

ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.

Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Pessoas também estão operando

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

38% chance

Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)

71% chance

Will openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?

32% chance

What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?

Will ChatGPT or another AI tool be officially integrated into WhatsApp by May 2026?

69% chance

Will the total user count for AI chatbots decline by more than a factor of 7 between now and the end of 2026?

Ordenar por:

Is this "below 75% at any point in 2026" or "below 75% at the end of 2026"?

@Creagle Any point, but only on the linked site, all platforms, worldwide

comprou Ṁ200 YES

Google has distribution solved, power users have moved to Anthropic, normies that are tired of ChatGPT’s output tone also seem to like Grok. What does ChatGPT do exceptionally well right now?

comprou Ṁ50 NO

They won the branding battle. Since August their market share has actually increased by 1% according to the site. Might go down if the other models keep outmatching them but seems pretty stable