Will August 2026 be warmer than July 2026 (ERA5)?
5
100á¹€152Sep 7
16%
chance
82
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to mean of 'FINAL' ERA5 Copernicus daily '2t' (ABSOLUTE) temperatures from respective months (absolute not anomaly, and status must be FINAL for all days):
Resolution source: https://sites.ecmwf.int/data/climatepulse/data/series/era5_daily_series_2t_global.csv
In the low probability case of them being equal resolves YES.
If the final data is unavailable by close this resolves N/A. (Should resolve a few days after September starts.)
Note: this has a low chance (5%) of happening historically, thus the initial probability is set to 5%
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