
Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
30
1ká¹€7542028
63%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The accounts cannot be owned by a person who works for the corporation - the corporation itself must own the account.
This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years). The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold accounts really are the entities they purport to be.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
10% chance
Will a U.S. State Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
10% chance
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
28% chance
Will Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
11% chance
Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
18% chance
Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
23% chance
Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
15% chance
Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
8% chance
Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
31% chance
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
35% chance