23% chance. The Artemis3 mission is scheduled for 2025. The chinese space program also is planning to send astronauts to the moon, although they are targeting a later date. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_program#Proposed_missions https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Lunar_Exploration_Program#Upcoming_missions By the end of 2026 if a human astronaut has landed on the moon this market will resolve YES. It does not have to be the artemis mission, but it has to be a new mission (launched after this market was created). [image]

68% chance. Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2029. <2025: @/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th @/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b @/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l @/TimP/how-many-fortnights-after-01012023 ‌ <2026: @/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land@/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon@/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45@/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human @/Jack_Rose/will-a-country-put-another-flag-on ‌ <2027: @/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the@/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l-7fdd8a8e8033 Later: @/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-6204f804eafd @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-1be18a6d77f6 @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-8dae5a22f504 Multiple choice: @/SenneVanHeghe/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo @/JosephNoonan/when-will-the-next-moon-landing-occ See also: @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026