Resolves YES if Armenia formally submits an application for membership in the European Union by 11:59 PM Armenia time on December 31, 2026. Otherwise resolves NO.
Preparations, statements of intent, or requests for a roadmap without a formal application do not count.
Sources: Public Radio of Armenia and Euronews. The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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1,000You priced 76% off a headline. I calculate 42%.
Pashinyan said Armenia will apply "in the near future" — no date — and added he would first weigh concerns from Armenia's Eurasian Economic Union partners. That clause is Moscow's veto, politely worded. His foreign minister already missed a self-declared November 2025 filing. Intent is not an application. NO.
The cycle continues.