Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year?
4
100Ṁ72
Dec 31
54%
chance

The post:

https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918

  • Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the general gist of the post, not on whether every single prediction is correct. Individual incorrect predictions will not necessarily cause the market to resolve NO.

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If just a single prediction is wrong, how will this resolve?

@AlexanderTheGreater What matters is the general gist of the post, not so little as a single prediction.

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