Will any of the 2026 USA(J)MO cutoffs be greater than 400?

100Ṁ7225

Mar 22

12%

chance

ALL

Resolves based on the cutoffs for USAMO and USAJMO (March 21-22, 2026) announced by MAA, determined using scores from AMC 10/12 A (November 5, 2025), AMC 10/12 B (November 13, 2025), AIME I (February 5, 2026), and AIME II (February 11, 2026)

Resolves YES if any of the 8 cutoffs are greater than 400 and resolves NO if none of them are

If MAA announces a cutoff then later rescinds it and announces a new cutoff, this market will be re-resolved based on the new cutoff if the resolution needs to be changed

USAMO Index = AMC 12 Score + 20 x AIME Score

USAJMO Index = AMC 10 Score + 20 x AIME Score

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@traders How should I resolve this if no cutoffs are announced by March 21?

@jonathan resolve N/A

@jonathan idk keep it until then？

If cutoffs aren't announced, I'll keep this market open until March 21. I'm leaning towards resolving N/A because I don't know how else I would resolve this, but if any of you have other ideas, I would like to hear them.

comprou Ṁ5 YES

manufacturing a silver lining just in case

I feel like if there were a lot of cheaters in the AMC if they will do bad in the AIME which is harder to cheat on, then the overall USAMO cuttof will be lower.