Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? | Axel

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Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?

12

100Ṁ315

2027

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This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will an LLM score >=85% on FrontierMath Tier 4 before 2028?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?

Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?

Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?

Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?

Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?

Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?

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