Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
8
100Ṁ317Dec 31
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
20% chance
Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
10% chance
Will the SAVE Act become law by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?
61% chance
Will the United States pass federal legislation regulating AI in 2026?
22% chance
Will Congress ban the sale of USA citizen genetic information to foreign companies or organizations by end of 2026?
40% chance
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
49% chance
Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?
38% chance
Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026?
53% chance
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
80% chance