Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?

Will Donald Knuth declare The Art of Computer Programming complete before he dies.

Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?

Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?

Will AI be able to write a "Harry Potter" book featuring all the 2011-2014 Thiel Fellows as characters by 2030?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

In which year will an AI written book first achieve bestseller status?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?