Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
15
100Ṁ3122027
50%
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Resolves yes if I judge an AI model to exceed gpt-4o in creative writing by a similar magnitude as o1 exceeds gpt-4o in advanced mathematics.
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@JaundicedBaboon Since the market comes down to your judgment, do you want to share how far the current best model is from this benchmark?
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