Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)
6
150á¹€1192050
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Wikipedia, "Alternatively, AGI has been defined as an autonomous system that surpasses human capabilities in the majority of economically valuable tasks."
I consider this to be a relatable and important metric, as it would require significant redesigns to our current financial models.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will we get AGI before 2028?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
5% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before 2040?
70% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
8% chance
Will we get AGI before 2045?
80% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
56% chance