Will a text model achieve 100% performance on the MMLU in five years? | Axel

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Will a text model achieve 100% performance on the MMLU in five years?

3

90Ṁ40

2028

28%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This video predicts that a model will achieve 100% performance on the Massive Multitask Language Understanding Benchmark.

This will resolve YES if a model is listed as having achieved 100 percent performance on the MMLU on papers with code, in a technical document, or published article by 3:00 PM EST June 28, 2028. This will resolve NO if a model is not listed as ahving achieved 100 percent performance on the MMLU.

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