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Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
44
1.8kṀ7180
2032
19%
chance

Mar 10, 1:36pm: Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people? → Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Public Health
Pandemic
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Good vaccine AIs vs evil pandemic AIs, who will win?

Mentioned in this Asterisk article: https://asteriskmag.com/issues/2/what-comes-after-covid

Adjacent market for comparison purposes.

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