Will a Democrat win Iowa for President by 2050?
4
110á¹€1052050
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Iowa in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.
If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.
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Interesting challenge! It fnf appears to be a difficult decision, but I'll be keeping a careful eye on whether Democrats can make a breakthrough in Iowa by 2050.
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