Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
42
510Ṁ12k
2030
27%
Other
21%
Will Sawin
12%
Tom hutchcroft
11%
Antoine Song
9%
Alex Smith
6%
Ewain Gwynne
4%
Amol Aggarwal
3%
Jeremy Hahn
2%
Alexander Dunn
1%
Marcelo Campos
1%
Mehtaab Sawhney

Each winner resolves to 25% assuming there are 4 winners. Probability mass is distributed evenly among all winners. This will resolve to the real name of the winners, nothing else. If someone puts a duplicate option, it will resolve to the first option.

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comprou Ṁ5 YES

@AmanMarkar https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Hutchcroft Got his Bachelor's in 2013. If he was 22 then then indeed he's 39 in 2030 so he is eligible.

comprou Ṁ100 NO

@Pepe Strong researcher, but I feel that Hong winning isn't good for his chances.

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