Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
37
375á¹€27202100
99%
MarÃa Corina Machado
84%
Alexei Kitaev
50%
Robin Hanson
47%
Donald Trump
34%
Jamie Joyce
29%
Daniel Sheehan
26%
John Preskill
26%
Daniel Hillis
10%
Jared Kushner
8%
Balaji Srinivasan
7%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
6%
Jack Dorsey
6%
Elon Musk
3%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
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