Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
1.3k
25kṀ4.2m
9999
99%
Robert Caro

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.

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@LeoSpitz

Dwarkesh Patel

Robert Caro, I can’t tell you how much of an honor it’s been. For six years that I’ve had this podcast, people will ask me, “Who is the person you most want to have on that you haven’t had on the podcast?” Every single time, I’ve said Robert Caro. So it’s a huge, huge honor. Thank you so much for doing this.

We already knew it but this can safely resolve to Caro.

I would be surprised if anyone I know has ever even heard of Robert Caro.

@AndrewHebb sorry for you

@AndrewHebb I also don't know this person

@Qoiuoiuoiu I've heard of him only because I listen to this podcast.

vendeu Ṁ0 YES

What if he releases two episodes tomorrow?

@AndrewHebb with his other favorite author ever?

@MachiNi with someone bigger than his other guests

@AndrewHebb bigger than his favorite author ever?

@AndrewHebb resolves to whoever the tweet was referring to, as the description says

this rules lmao

@Ziddletwix fwiw, musk has been interviewed a bajillion times in myriad contexts, nor is he such an unusual outlier relative to dwarkesh's other tech titan guests ("by far").

there's no one in the world who would be a satisfying answer for "by far my biggest guest yet" under conventional definitions of "biggest" (and "by far").

instead this being about dwarkesh's personal GOAT, a guy who genuinely rarely gives interviews, and who dwarkesh has said publicly for years is his #1 most desired guess—way way more satisfying answer than any of the other options imo! bad failure of the market to not weight that >5%

@Ziddletwix when i learned he was his personal goat it all finally made sense, i agree there was basically nobody other than trump and xi that would have been by far biggest yet (vs zuck) and it was very confusing

and troll interpertations like "haha biggest physically" didn't make that much sense with the

If you're interesting in sponsoring it, shoot me an email at sponsor@dwarkeshpatel.com

part. so it kinda had to be sincere

@Bayesian yeah I should be more precise and say there are a few ppl who could be a conventionally satisfying answer relative to dwarkesh’s previous guests (Trump, TSwift, the pope, a few other world leaders, a few athletes, etc?), in the sense that there’s no guest yet that is similar to them. although most of those would be much lamer answers nonetheless even if they technically satisfies the defn

@Bayesian somebody would definitely be willing to sponsor an interview with ex Shaq

"Biggest guest yet"

Probably not even top 10 biggest dwarkesh guests.

Honestly very sad it wasnt the "physically big" answer just for lolz.

@Yakushi12345 it’s the biggest to him. Who are you to tell him otherwise?

It’s finally over

Called it.

vendeu Ṁ3,677 YES
vendeu Ṁ443 NO

Oops he literally spelled it out didn't he in the quote tweet, haha. Okay, I think this can just resolve now, no?

@bens dang, I really thought it was gonna just be Kamala in the end

aberto a Ṁ25,000 YES at 90% order

@bens Probably we should wait for it to come out

@Joshua I mean, whether or not it comes out, it looks like he admitted that Caro is who he meant by the tweet

preenchido a Ṁ25,000 YES at 95% order

@bens I think some No holders may be expecting a second podcast to release tomorrow

@Joshua oh interesting... they're delusional but that's fun for them

@bens Well I do think its a bit ridiculous for dwarkesh to call Caro his biggest guest yet, so good to be certain

@bens I think some No holders may be expecting a second podcast to release tomorrow

Correct. Waiting for a day doesn't seem that costly :)

vendeu Ṁ474 YES

@Joshua why?

@Joshua it kind of makes sense in hindsight (for Dwarkesh, this would be his coolest guest, since Caro is like... the GOAT interviewer and probably a serious inspiration)

@bens he’s stated publicly several times that Caro is the GOAT for him. It’s been kinda obvious for a while that he was a top contender.

@MachiNi he peaked at 5% though before this news though, can't have been that obvious

@Bayesian it should have been. It was hidden in plain sight. I warned people a few times.

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