As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus. For the caucus question, see /EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w .

For the two-party case, see /lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026

Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn.

In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.