Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-07-04?
13
1.1kṀ9319
resolved Jul 9
Resolvido
YES
Antares Nuclear Inc.
Resolvido
YES
Valar Atomics Inc.
Resolvido
YES
Aalo Atomics Inc.
Resolvido
NO
Atomic Alchemy Inc.
Resolvido
NO
Deep Fission Inc.
Resolvido
NO
Last Energy Inc.
Resolvido
NO
Oklo Inc. (one or both projects)
Resolvido
NO
Oklo Inc. (both projects)
Resolvido
NO
Natura Resources LLC
Resolvido
NO
Radiant Industries Inc.
Resolvido
NO
Terrestrial Energy Inc.

The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs. Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the target date?

Oklo, Inc submitted two projects. If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes. If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.

Resolution will be based on DoE announcements as the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting as additional sourcing if required.

For minor schedule slips, see: /EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea-EQc0n6CEuO

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@Runestone @EvanDaniel does by the 4th mean PT or ET? 🙈

@MarySmith ”by the” is generally inclusive of the date in question. @EvanDaniel has final say though. 👍

@Runestone Inclusive of the 4th. Why does the time zone matter? It sounds like it happened at 12:20am MT, which would be on or before the fourth in any relevant time zone, right?

Clearly we need an "anywhere in the US" designation.

@EvanDaniel agree - I was just responding to the comment asking for the timezone.

@EvanDaniel but that means Aalo should resolve yes here, or am I missing something?

@EvanDaniel No, if it happened at 12a MT on the 4th, then it happened at 11p on the 3rd. If the 4th was not inclusive AND the time zone mattered for a time zone ahead of PT, should resolve NO.

You said it was inclusive though.

Congratulations to @Runestone , your profit is well earned on this, I was too risk averse to bring it to 99% 😂

aberto a Ṁ100 NO at 5% order

@traders as best I can tell, I've resolved the only two on this list that achieved it, and all the rest should resolve No. I don't see anything to indicate Aalo did, and they're the only ones trading above noise. If I'm missing anything, please post it in the comments!

@EvanDaniel they were very close but no cigar. I expect them to resolve for the other market in a couple days?

comprou Ṁ10 NO

Deployable Energy (Unity reactor) not on this list, reported as reaching criticality.

reposted

I have no idea but I wonder how many of them will accidentally leak [anything of value] to some other country and result in the other country owning such technology instead.

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