Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
36
1.3kṀ19k
resolved Jan 1
Resolvido
NO
Pakistan
Resolvido
NO
United States
Resolvido
NO
Russia
Resolvido
NO
United Kingdom
Resolvido
NO
France
Resolvido
NO
China
Resolvido
NO
India
Resolvido
NO
North Korea
Resolvido
NO
Israel
Resolvido
NO
Iran
Resolvido
NO
[Other country not listed above]
Resolvido
NO
[Non-state actor]
Resolvido
NO
[Unattributed as of close time]

Tests, accidental detonations, and peaceful nuclear explosions are not included. During 2025, UTC time.

The weapon must detonate to be included.

2024 version: /EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc

  • Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A use is considered offensive if the detonation occurs outside the recognized borders of the country using the weapon.

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What is meant by 'offensive' use? Is the use of a nuke to defend against an invasion offensive?

@skibidist apologies for not figuring that out sooner. Lacking any great suggestions, I'm going with: outside the recognized borders of the country using it, and not a test.

How is this list exhaustive?

<edit> I'm dumb, did not see the "other countries" option

The intent here is that this list is exhaustive; if there is an offensive nuclear detonation, at least one of the categories can resolve positively. That is: "country" and "non-state actor" include all possible actors; between that and "unattributed", something can resolve positively.

Did I miss anything there? Any edge cases worth worrying about?

aberto a Ṁ5 YES at 1.0% order

Extraterrestrial Aliens.

OK, yep, that's an edge case I missed. Hopefully not worth worrying about, though. I think that could result in a situation where an alien state offensively detonates a nuke and nothing here resolves in response.

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