When will Windows Market Share fall below 50% on desktop?
4
1.2kṀ5902035
May 8, 2031
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
2026
8%
2027
11%
2028
12%
2029
11%
2030
10%
2031
10%
2032
10%
2033
10%
2034
7%
2035
6%
After 2035
Windows market share on desktop is declining. Windows remains dominant, but a significant number of users are actively choosing to leave the platform and governments around the world are increasingly adopting Linux-based operating systems.
The lowest recorded point for Windows according to statcounter is March 2026, with a market share of 60.8%. This market resolves to the year Windows falls below 50%.
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