When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?
8
200á¹€5632049
May 3, 2033
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
2025-2027
12%
2028-2030
16%
2031-2033
8%
2034-2036
13%
2037-2040
8%
2041-2045
9%
2046 or later or never
As described here:
https://x.com/vitrupo/status/1927204441821749380
Has to be a desktop OS roughly feature-equivalent (or beyond) to Windows / Linux / MacOS
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
When will an AI be able to write an OS from scratch, unsupervised, in <24hrs
N/A
Will I be able to buy a phone or laptop preinstalled with an Elon musk operating system by the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
66% chance
AI Warning Signs: Will a tool that can easily generate generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?
90% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?
76% chance
In 2030 can you get a chain of 3 neural nets that jailbreak eachother?
71% chance
Will OpenAI release a high-quality AI generated movie by the end of 2028?
18% chance
At least one of the most powerful neural nets at end of 2026 will be trained using 10^27 FLOPs
84% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
N/A
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
71% chance
Ordenar por:
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
When will an AI be able to write an OS from scratch, unsupervised, in <24hrs
N/A
Will I be able to buy a phone or laptop preinstalled with an Elon musk operating system by the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
66% chance
AI Warning Signs: Will a tool that can easily generate generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?
90% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?
76% chance
In 2030 can you get a chain of 3 neural nets that jailbreak eachother?
71% chance
Will OpenAI release a high-quality AI generated movie by the end of 2028?
18% chance
At least one of the most powerful neural nets at end of 2026 will be trained using 10^27 FLOPs
84% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
N/A
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
71% chance