When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
30
1.8ká¹€16k2200
42%
8%
2026 Jul-Dec
8%
2028 Jan-Jun
8%
2028 Jul-Dec
7%
2030 Jan-Jun
7%
2027 Jan-Jun
6%
2029 Jul-Dec
6%
2029 Jan-Jun
5%
2027 Jul-Dec
2%
2026 Jan-Jun
Resolves according to resolution of the corresponding Metaculus question. Half year granularity.
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Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?
46% chance
When will Putin cease to be the President of Russia?
When will Vladimir Putin cease to be Russia's President?
N/A
How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
What year will Vladim Putin's presidency end?
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
89% chance
When will Putin die?
Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia
Will Putin die in office?
79% chance
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
85% chance
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Related market. Impersonators of Putin: https://manifold.markets/Areal/will-no-foreign-leader-claim-by-31?r=QXJlYWw
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