When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
16
2kṀ38382039
3%
By end of 2027
6%
By end of 2028
7%
By end of 2029
13%
By end of 2030
20%
By end of 2031
23%
By end of 2032
37%
By end of 2033
50%
By end of 2034
71%
By end of 2035
80%
By end of 2036
84%
By end of 2037
Resolution Criteria:
Resolves YES for an option if, by that date, space-based data centers meet ALL of:
1. Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
2. Aggregate capacity: ≥10GW total power draw capacity across all qualifying space-based data center infrastructure, cumulative across all operators and facilities
3. AI compute: Each contributing facility must be used for machine learning workloads (training or inference)
4. Power accounting: Counts power draw by compute equipment (GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, cooling). Solar collection capacity does not count.
5. Operational threshold: Each contributing facility must demonstrate ≥30 days continuous operation to count toward the total
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? [Polymarket]
21% chance
Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
36% chance
When will the first real data center (≥1 MW) be operating in space?
Will at least 1% of datacenter capacity be in space by EOY 2028?
5% chance
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Will any single datacenter campus reach 2 GW of power capacity by the end of 2027
46% chance
Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
17% chance
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
65% chance
Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?
2% chance
