When will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married?
20
1.1kį¹€7348
Jul 1
1.4%
Before March 2026
5%
Before April 2026
7%
Before May 2026
23%
Before June 2026
82%
Before July 2026

  • Update 2025-10-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "Before [Month]" means the marriage must occur prior to the first day of that month.

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comprou į¹€614 NO

@Bayesian 4 can resolve?

comprou į¹€10 NO

To clarify - does ā€œbeforeā€ imply before the first day of that month?

in general ā€˜month’ is a range not a point in time, and ā€˜before range’ means before the range starts. A range is (time0, time1) with time0 being the time the range starts and time1 being the time the range ends. ā€˜In time’ is a type error, ā€˜in range’ means after time0 and before time1. ā€˜By time’ is before time, ā€˜by range’ is linguistically ambiguous. More at https://manifold.markets/post/frequent-market-terms-recommended-d?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4

comprou į¹€50 NO

@Bayesian "before september 2025" and "before october 2025" can resolve NO

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