When will Starship flight 12 happen?
39
2ká¹€30k
2027
May 29, 2026
70%
Before June 2026
90%
Before August 2026
96%
Before October 2026
98%
Before December 2026

Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.

Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.

Info about past tests:

Flight 7 was 2025-01-16

Flight 8 was 2025-03-06

Flight 9 was 2025-05-27

Flight 10 was 2025-08-26

Flight 11 was 2025-10-13

I sometimes bet on my own questions.

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@CommanderZander Before April 2026 can resolve thanks

Before October can resolve @CommanderZander thanks

Will it be possible to add other intermediate dates to this question? I.e. "Before January" would be useful right now.

@OlegEterevsky I agree that would be cool, but i can't find any way to add answers to this question. I imagine doing that is not currently supported for the 'Date Independent' question type.

@CommanderZander "before August" can resolve.

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