When will SOTA for Atari 100k pass human median and mean score on all 57 games?
5
520á¹€2582032
26%
13%
Before 2023
37%
2023-2024
15%
2024-2025
2%
2025-2026
2%
2026-2027
2%
2027-2032
2%
2032-never
Atari 100k: Atari Learning Environment with only 100k samples.
This must be a single *learning* algorithm, not a single model. Hyperparameters do not have to be shared across environments.
I will post a set of mutually exclusive answers covering possible years and select whichever turns out true. I will not select any other answers. 20XX-20YY means after the start of 20XX and before the start of 20YY.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
[Carlini questions] SOTA AI scores better than X% of other participants in competitive programming contest by 2027
95.5
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2027?
[Carlini questions] SOTA AI scores better than X% of other participants in competitive programming contest by 2030
96.9
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #4: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2027?
86% chance
Will Claude Sonnet 5 achieve a SOTA score on SciPredict?
12% chance
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2028?
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #5: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2028?
87% chance
Any SOTA AI model uses human-understandable thinking medium at the end of 2028?
71% chance