When will robots start making food in public restaurants? | Axel

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When will robots start making food in public restaurants?

7

100Ṁ105

2051

November 3, 2026

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

58%

2025-2027

42%

2027-2029

Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Must be a real robot cooking food
- Robots must be seen in most restaurants to count as "started"

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It's a real robot cooking food, and it has to be seen in most restaurants to count that robots have started cooking.

@ZZSInzg Requiring robotic hardware to be deployed in “most restaurants” is absurd. That’s like claiming that driverless car technology has not begun being used because it’s only commercially deployed in 5 cities instead of “most” cities. Whether robots are capable of something or are in early deployment is a basically separate question from whether it has significant market share.

Does something like a pizza vending machine count? Or like a sit down restaurant with robot waiters? Or will robot chef and human waiters count?

Alone or as an assistance to humans? There are many robots already

Resolution criteria?

How many restaurants? what counts as a robot?

As of the introduction of the toaster.

Humanoid robot cook/chef?

Pessoas também estão operando

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

+3% 1d55% chance

When will robots start making food in restaurants?

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When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?

When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?

Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?

In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?

Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

[Metaculus] Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

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When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?

Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?

In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?

Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

[Metaculus] Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

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