Resolution Criteria

Vast is currently targeting 2028 for the first Haven-2 launch, with modules launching approximately every six months starting in 2028, with a final station configuration slated for 2032. The market resolves based on the calendar year in which the first Haven-2 module successfully launches to orbit. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Vast Space or verified reports from spaceflight tracking sources such as Spaceflight Now or Space.com.

Background

Haven-2 is the proposed successor to the International Space Station (ISS), designed to serve NASA's Commercial LEO Destinations (CLD) program as a micro-gravity laboratory in space. Haven-2 modules will require a Falcon Heavy rocket using an extended payload fairing, unlike the smaller Haven-1 which launches on a Falcon 9. The first Haven-2 Module will be 5m longer than Haven-1, offering nearly twice the livable volume of its predecessor while utilizing all the same proven systems.

Considerations

Vast has a history of adjusting timelines. Haven-1 was initially expected to launch in August 2025 but Vast now expects it to launch no earlier than May 2026. Haven-2's schedule depends on successful Haven-1 operations and NASA's CLD program selection, which could introduce delays. The 2028 target assumes Haven-1 launches on schedule and validates the design heritage that Haven-2 will build upon.

This description was generated by AI.