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When will Artemis II launch?
47
1kṀ44k
resolved Apr 1
Resolvido
May 2, 2026
Resolvido
NO
Before 2026-02-01
Resolvido
NO
Before 2026-04-01
Resolvido
YES
Before 2026-06-01
Resolvido
YES
Before 2026-08-01
Resolvido
YES
Before 2026-10-01
Resolvido
YES
Before 2027-01-01

Resolves YES based on the date that the Artemis II SLS vehicle leaves the launchpad under its own thrust. Resolves based on Houston local time.

SpaceX
Space
Rockets
Artemis program
Artemis 2
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Nasa pushes it back to March. And no real action in the graph. Uninformative market

If it launches, what is the probability that all astronauts return to the surface of Earth alive?

comprou Ṁ50 YES

@Eliza /jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with

if there were a date, say "in 2026" then I would say no. It may fly, and something goes wrong, but what if it does not fly this year?

comprou Ṁ10 NO

https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2027?r=SnVzc2lWaWxsZUhlaXNrYW5lbg

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