When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
15
1ká¹€9952040
4%
56%
2025
25%
2030
5%
2035
0.9%
2040
0.4%
2045
0.1%
2050
8%
2029
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/
Rounded to nearest half-decade. i.e. acceptable answers = 2025, 2030, 2035, etc
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/oct/18/us-startup-charging-couples-to-screen-embryos-for-iq
Few dozen already confirmed. Seems likely to be 100 by 2027 (assuming rounding)
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Which country will be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
8% chance
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
58% chance
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
19% chance
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78% chance
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
68% chance