What will Elon Musk do in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
15
Ṁ323
2027
79%
Announce a merger of SpaceX and Tesla
75%
Claim that Grok/xAI has reached AGI (a statement by Musk on X counts)
66%
Launch a satellite officially described as an orbital AI data-center prototype, carrying at least 8 data-center-grade AI accelerators (per official statements or reputable reporting; if the count is not public, resolves NO)
54%
Announce a new child (confirmed by Musk or the mother)
54%
Deliver Optimus robots to a paying external customer
42%
Announce an acquisition worth more than $10B (by Musk or one of his companies)
38%
Testify at a public hearing of the US Congress
35%
Refly a Starship booster or ship within 3 days of its previous launch
31%
Formally establish a political party, including the America Party (FEC registration or a state ballot-access filing made by Musk or on his behalf; announcements on X alone don't count)
29%
Donate SpaceX or Tesla shares worth at least $1B at the time of the donation (per SEC filings or official statements)
17%
Launch a Starship on a trajectory toward the Moon or Mars (trans-lunar or trans-Mars injection)

Each answer resolves independently: YES if the event happens between 1 January 2027, 00:00 UTC and 1 January 2028, 00:00 UTC; NO otherwise. Events before 2027 do not count. Each answer resolves on whether the event happens during 2027, not whether it happens for the first time.


Actions by companies Musk leads or controls count as his.


Sources: official company statements and regulatory filings (SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, SEC, FEC), then reputable outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, AP, WSJ; SpaceNews, NASASpaceFlight and Spaceflight Now for spaceflight answers), and Musk's own X posts where applicable. In case of ambiguity, I'll open a discussion before resolving.


I reserve the right to resolve any answer N/A for any reason, e.g. to deal with duplicates or abuse.

If you find any question to be ambiguous, please tell me and I will try to clarify.

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