US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
18
1kṀ10222031
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.
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