Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]
11
5kṀ2227Dec 31
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the population number divided by 1 million.
Resolution source: 2026 Q4 data published by Instituto Nacional de Estadística
Update 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is a numeric market that resolves to a value between 0 and 1, representing Spain's population divided by 1 million. YES/NO markets on Manifold can resolve to any probability between 0% and 100%, which will be used to encode the numerical population value.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
25% chance
Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?
37% chance
Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
26% chance
Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?
16% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon meaningfully increase Spain's birthrate by 0.01% by 2035?
31% chance
Will Spain lose any territory before 01/01/2030? (Either land or territorial waters)
14% chance
Will Germany’s population have peaked by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will the USA have a population of 350M by the end of 2029? 💀🇺🇸👶
73% chance
Will Poland's GDP-per-capita (nominal) be higher than Spain by 2035?
65% chance
Will Spain switch to GMT/Western Europe Time by 2030?
29% chance