Somebody tries to manipulate a regulated drug trial to win money on a prediction market before September 2029
2
100á¹€12
2029
45%
chance

Must be real money prediction markets. Must be a trial overseen by an official national agency regulating drugs for human use (e.g., FDA in the US, but any nation works). Based on credible reporting, does not need to be a conviction. Conspiring with others to manipulate the trial also resolves YES.

Partly subjective resolution, won't bet on this market.

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