SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
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Dec 31
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.


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comprou á¹€50 NO

I predict that a somewhat popular film will do this, but there won't be a ton of audience praise online outside of high view numbers. (ie, a No resolution.) A lot of viewers will be either ignorant about the behind the scenes details or feel reluctant to praise use of controversial software.

@CommanderZander This but the authors will count as yes to not look bad for having too few good predictions.

comprou á¹€65 NO

"I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording."

Ah, so it's a new coinflip market

@ChurlishGambit they will probably issue a ruling evaluating their own prediction in time like they did this year. And they graded themselves harshly

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