SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
19
1ká¹€1272Dec 31
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?
15% chance
Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?
74% chance
Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
76% chance
OpenAI 2026 revenue
Will AI Agents / Assistants significantly disrupt consumer-facing software moats? 🤖🖥💥
60% chance
OpenAI Market Share
44% chance
OpenAI or Anthropic 2028 revenue at $3T+
11% chance
Will AI write 75%+ of social media view-generating posts (default to Twitter) by EOY 2026?
12% chance
Will any AI investing agent have at least 1 million publicly verifiable monthly active users by the end of 2027?
47% chance
Is Sam Altman right that we will see AI agents materially change the output of companies in 2025?
10% chance