Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100?
11
100Ṁ1392099
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if anyone intentionally uses a nuclear bomb/missile on someone else. Reactor meltdowns and other mistakes do not count, even if they are intentionally orchestrated. A weapon that is launched with the intent to explode counts regardless of whether it lands or is defended.
Resolves based on credible news outlets or government statements.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
In what year will a nuclear bomb next be used offensively?
2055
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
30% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
39% chance
Will a nuke be used offensively before the end of the year ?
3% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030
51% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
49% chance
A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
23% chance
Will there be a nuclear war before 2100?
40% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
12% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
54% chance