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Next US nuclear test occurs on US soil?
5
100Ṁ85
2030
33%
chance

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Does that include territorial waters?

vendeu Ṁ22 YES

How does this resolve if no nuclear test occurs before the end date?

@Dulaman

Despicable Me gif. A Minion wearing an orange wig and a polka-dotted scarf speaks into a telephone. It smiles at first, then frowns coldly. Text, "Ehh...no."

@Predictor could you make that clearer in the description? It's a bit ambiguous the way it's currently written

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Will the US conduct a nuclear test in 2026?
11% chance
Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026?
6% chance
Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?
23% chance
In which country's territory will the next nuclear explosion of any type occur?
What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?
U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?
35% chance
US confirms use of nuclear earth-penetrating weapon in combat by end of 2028?
5% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
10% chance
Will the USA operate a functioning nuclear reactor on the moon at the end of 2026?
2% chance
Where will the next point on Earth that becomes United States territory be?
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