My friend, a Yale Economics PhD in his 4th year, will be in academia in 2029.
9
170Ṁ982029
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
His prior was 80%, my prior as 87%, and our mutual friend's prior was 65%.
Resolves based on whether he is employed by an academic institution on January, 1st 2029.
Feb 12, 10:01am: My friend, a Yale Economics PhD in his 5th year, will be in academia in 2029. → My friend, a Yale Economics PhD in his 4th year, will be in academia in 2029.
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