July 26 (7/26/26) Will I be below 300 lbs. at my morning weigh-in? 314.2 today.
7
100á¹€37
Jul 26
39%
chance
4

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if my weight is strictly below 300.0 lbs during my morning weigh-in on July 26, 2026. It resolves to NO if my weight is 300.0 lbs or higher during that weigh-in.

Background

As of June 20, 2026, my weight is 314.2 lbs. To reach a target weight below 300.0 lbs by July 26, 2026, I need to lose more than 14.2 lbs over a period of 36 days. This requires an average weight loss of approximately 2.76 lbs per week.

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