This is one of the biggest busts in Manifold history; it was trading at 92%. It shows that prediction markets work best in politics and don't work in some fields.

https://openai.com/index/building-scientific-understanding-with-academic-communities/

Resolves No

Related market: https://manifold.markets/Floffinou/is-the-strong-exponential-time-hypo?r=RmxvZmZpbm91