Is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad alive?
4
100Ṁ200Dec 31
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if clear and convincing evidence emerges this year that former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was alive at exactly 5 PM ET on 3/3/2026.
Resolves NO if clear and convincing evidence emerges this year that former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was dead at exactly 5 PM ET on 3/3/2026.
Resolves 50-50 if we reach the new year without a resolution.
I will rely on mainstream journalistic and/or scholarly sources and common sense.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
5% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
76% chance
When Will Mojtaba Khamenei be first be shown alive on video?
9/11/27
Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
36% chance
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
2% chance
In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be alive on December 31 2026?
97% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
12% chance
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
11% chance