In what year will the first nationalization of a western bloc AI lab occur?

Em alta Urgente Novo

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120Ṁ194

2027

2024

2025

2026

12%

2027

2028

2029

2030

19%

2031

1.7%

2032

1.7%

2033

1.7%

2034

29%

not before 2035

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comprou Ṁ40 YES

Western nations don’t ‘nationalise’ things. They just commission and regulate them.

@OP https://situational-awareness.ai/

some pretty serious ai people think otherwise!

@WillTower I didn’t read all the linked essays. Which one says that a western govt will nationalise an AI lab?

@OP case laid out in iv, the project

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OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

-3% 1d31% chance

By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

73% chance

Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?

12% chance

Any American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?

35% chance

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

65% chance

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28% chance

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

49% chance

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

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OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

31% chance

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Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

73% chance

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12% chance

Any American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?

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When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

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Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

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