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If X is the Republican nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
5
1.5kṀ667
2028
43%
Brian Kemp
43%
Pete Ricketts
43%
Doug Burgum
43%
Elise Stefanik
43%
Tucker Carlson
43%
Chris Sununu
43%
JD Vance
43%
Ron DeSantis
43%
Vivek Ramaswamy
43%
Tim Scott
41%
Donald Trump
39%
Nikki Haley
38%
Marco Rubio
36%
Kristi Noem
25%
Elon Musk

Once a nominee is chosen at the Republican convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

US Politics
Politics
Elections
Democratic Party
Trump
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