If Trump dies while in office, will the market go up or go down?
13
1kṀ7822029
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES=UP, NO=Down
Resolution criteria:
Resolves "Yes" if, following the death (any cause) of President Donald Trump while in office, the S&P 500 Index closes higher on the first full trading day after the announcement of his death compared to its closing value on the last full trading day before the announcement. Resolves "No" if the S&P 500 Index closes lower.
Resolves "N/A" if Trump finishes his second term.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
@Panfilo I think it would be more interesting to see what the markets would do in 1 week, as I do believe that any political uncertainty will fuck with the markets.
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
How old will Donald Trump be at death?
86.0
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
13% chance
In which year will Donald Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?
When will Trump die?
Will Trump die in bed?
69% chance
If Trump is assassinated will the S&P500 rise >3% in the following week?
31% chance
How much would the S&P 500 change if Donald Trump died or became severely ill (enough to step down from office)?
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
12% chance
Will Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
8% chance