If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
3
1kṀ782027
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen
Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
Esta pergunta Ă© gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?
14% chance
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
80% chance
If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
44% chance
Will any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
73% chance
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
42% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
16% chance
Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
72% chance
Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
33% chance
Who will be elected Minister-President of Thuringia after the next state election?