
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
19
515Ṁ21572027
4%
Banned in all cases
10%
Banned with exceptions
18%
Banned after 6 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
29%
Banned after 15 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
32%
Banned after 20 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
30%
Banned after 24 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
77%
None of the above
If Donald Trump does not win, this question will be resolved N/A
Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows:
"Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES.
If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES
If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously)
"exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Trump wins, will abortion rates rise from the 2024 elections to the 2026 midterms?
39% chance
Will trump sign a 'national abortion ban' by the end of 2026?
9% chance
If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump sign any national legislation restricting abortion?
14% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
11% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
8% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
12% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
2% chance
If Trump is elected will the Comstock laws be used to ban the shipping of abortion pills by the end of 2026
53% chance