Resolves N/A if AI does not have an ok outcome.
Otherwise, resolves YES if
this OK outcome is because of an AI pause
OR the transhumanist future is achieve through non-AI technology
OR humans are enhanced as part of the process by which alignment is solved
OR there is a nonroutine effort for alignment, with AI being made by an organisation that makes alignment a top priority, treating it the primary function of the organisation and as a blocker on capabilities rather than something that can be done alongside capabilities.
1,000my guess is that there will be a non-routine effort for alignment, in a similar way as there is today, with AI being made by an organization that makes alignment one of its top priorities, treating it as one of the primary functions of the organization and as something that can be done alongside capabilities insofar as it is sufficiently controlled (as it will be, from their perspective). Insofar as humans will be enhanced it will be minor and will not reasonably affect resolution. As such the market will resolve NO, unless you use the IMO misleading def of ok outcome used elsewhere rather than the colloquial meaning, in which case it will resolve N/A